Minnesota is the top team in the NFC entering Week 11, having won seven in a row by 8 points or less. In our game of the week, Kirk Cousins and the Vikings host the Dallas Cowboys. Watch now for all our picks and predictions.
This week’s Thursday night matchup between the Tennessee Titans and Green Bay Packers could be one of the more anticipated TNF games of the season.
Especially with the Packers coming off a much-needed win to break a five-game losing streak.
Green Bay beat the Dallas Cowboys in overtime to move to 4-6 on this so-far disappointing season. And just as important, Aaron Rodgers finally found a receiver he could throw to, as rookie Christian Watson snagged four passes -- three of them for touchdowns -- for 107 yards. It was what the Packers needed from a position that has been super thin most of the season.
Tennessee enters with a 6-3 record and in first place in the AFC South as the only team with a winning record in the division. The Titans have won six of their last seven and boast the best running back in the game, Derrick Henry -- who is 77 rushing yards away from 1,000 on the season.
Green Bay is a 3-point favorite at home Thursday night in Lambeau Field. It’s the sixth time this year the Packers have been the favorite. Straight up, they’re 2-4 when favored and just 1-5 against the spread.
FrontPageBets takes a look at three best bets for this Week 11 Thursday Night Football game.
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings and subject to change.)
Packers QB Aaron Rodgers under 22.5 completions (+100)
It’s been proven that Rodgers doesn’t need to throw every down for the Packers to win. Especially this year.
In three of Green Bay’s four wins, Rodgers has completed less than 23 passes. In the win over Dallas on Sunday, Rodgers completed just 14 passes out of 20 attempts -- three of them were for touchdowns.
Ball control is the name of the game for the Packers this year, as they’re seventh in the league in time of possession (31:04). Over the last three games, they’ve held the ball for an average of 33:45.
Titans RB Derrick Henry over 98.5 rushing yards (-115)
Henry has rushed for more than 100 yards in five out of the Titans' nine games this season, including 219 yards in a Week 8 win over the Houston Texans. He's second in the NFL in rushing yards with 923.
Three different running backs have run for more than 100 yards on the Packers defense this season -- none with the talent or physicality of Henry.
In what could be grind-it-out matchup between Henry and Green Bay running back Aaron Jones, the Tennessee running back should get plenty of touches.
Remember, Henry leads the league in carries with 203 in just nine games.
Titans +3 (-110)
Tennessee is 7-2 against the spread this season, including 3-1 as the underdog. As a road dog, the Titans are 2-1.
Meanwhile, the Packers are 4-6 ATS and 1-5 as the favorite against the spread.
Despite Green Bay’s big win over Dallas last week, these are two teams with two different trajectories.
Take Tennessee.
Tennessee Titans (6-3) vs. Green Bay Packers (4-6)
- When: 8:15 p.m., PRIME
- Spread: Packers -3 (-110); Titans +3 (-110)
- Money line: Packers -175; Titans +150
- Over/Under: 41 (-110)
- The pick: Titans, 21-20
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Mike Szvetitz is the General Manager and Content Director for FrontPageBets.com. Szvetitz is a 22-year veteran reporter and editor, including serving 17 years as a sports editor in Florida, Alabama and Virginia, covering everything from preps to pros. His "View From The Lazy Boy" column won multiple state and national awards. He can be reached at mszvetitz@timesdispatch.com.
