While it's not the "flashiest" game on the Week 9 slate, the Baltimore Ravens vs. New Orleans Saints could be the most competitive with two teams need to keep pace in the win columns of their respective divisions.
The first NFL Sunday of November is absent of a marquee matchup.
There are, however, plenty of wagers out there that can sustain you through a mediocre slate. Especially if they involve some of the most dynamic players in the league.
FrontPageBets has a few to consider as it looks at its top three player props to watch in Week 9.
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings and subject to change)
Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill anytime touchdown (+100)
It’s curious how Miami Dolphins wideout Tyreek Hill leads the NFL in receptions (69) and receiving yards (961) but only has two touchdowns to show for it.
A majority of Hill’s catches come on first and second down (78%) and between the Dolphins’ 21-50 yard line (58%), as Miami uses him to set up drives. The hope is Hill breaks one with his insane speed and vision.
Hill has recorded four games with 10 or more catches, but the only game he found the end zone was in the Dolphins’ furious second-half comeback against the Baltimore Ravens in the second week of the season.
Miami’s offense is tied for fourth with the most touchdown passes spread out between six different players, with wideout Jaylen Waddle leading the way with five and tight end Mike Gesicki with four.
The Chicago Bears pass defense is in the top 10 in the league, but their rush defense is second-to-last.
Hill can score in multiple ways and it’s only a matter of time before he finds the end zone after a six-game drought.
Bills QB Josh Allen under 35.5 passing attempts (+100)
It’s never, ever, a good idea to bet against Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen. Ever.
Except for, well, against the New York Jets and how many times he’ll have to throw the ball.
The Bills are currently 11.5-point favorites over the Jets in what is expected to be a walkover. If that is the case, Allen’s passing attempts should be limited.
This season, the Bills QB1 is averaging 37.7 attempts per game. Opposing offenses are averaging 34.9 passes per game against New York’s defense.
Allen has thrown for under 35 passes in three games this season, including just 25 attempts in the Bills’ 27-17 win over the Green Bay Packers last Sunday night. Buffalo was a double-digit favorite in that game.
In a way, it’s really not betting against Allen, it’s betting with him.
Packers RB Aaron Jones over 14.5 rushing attempts (+100)
With a skeleton crew at wide receiver, Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers has struggled. So has his offense. So has his team, losing the last four games.
The one constant for Rodgers is his running back Aaron Jones, who has had to not only run the ball effectively, but play a big part in the passing game. To that end, Jones has 30 receptions out of the backfield and three touchdowns through eight games.
On the ground, Jones is coming off a 20-carry, 143-yard performance against the Bills in a 10-point loss. Jones averaged 7.2 yards per carry.
This week against a Detroit Lions defense that is in the bottom fifth in the league in stopping the run, look for Jones to have another heavy workload. Teams are averaging 30 rush attempts against Detroit for an average of 5.1 yards per carry.
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Mike Szvetitz is the General Manager and Content Director for FrontPageBets.com. Szvetitz is a 22-year veteran reporter and editor, including serving 17 years as a sports editor in Florida, Alabama and Virginia, covering everything from preps to pros. His "View From The Lazy Boy" column won multiple state and national awards. He can be reached at mszvetitz@timesdispatch.com.
